It seems pretty obvious to me, and probably to many other people in the rationalist community, that if AGI goes well, every business that does not control AI or play a role in its production will become virtually worthless. Companies that have no hope of this are obviously overvalued, and those that might are probably undervalued (at least as a group).
asking the important questions: if my god materializes upon the earth, how can I use that to make a profit?
Question: if the only thing that matter is using AGI, what powers the AGI? Does the AGI produce net positive energy to power the continued expansion of AGI? Does AGI break the law of conservation because… if it didn’t, it wouldn’t be AGI?
n-nuh uh, my super strong AI god will invent cold fusion and nanotechnology and then it won’t need any resources at all, my m-m-mathematical calculations prove it!
ok but how will the AI exist and exponentially multiply in a world where those things don’t already exist?
y-you can’t say that to me! I’m telling poppy yud and he’s gonna bomb all your data centers!
LOL – looking at the comments: “can somebody open a manifold market so I can get a sense of the probabilities?”
And yet the market is said to be “erring” and to have “irrationality” when it disagrees with rationalist ideas. Funny how that works.
asking the important questions: if my god materializes upon the earth, how can I use that to make a profit?
Question: if the only thing that matter is using AGI, what powers the AGI? Does the AGI produce net positive energy to power the continued expansion of AGI? Does AGI break the law of conservation because… if it didn’t, it wouldn’t be AGI?
n-nuh uh, my super strong AI god will invent cold fusion and nanotechnology and then it won’t need any resources at all, my m-m-mathematical calculations prove it!
y-you can’t say that to me! I’m telling poppy yud and he’s gonna bomb all your data centers!