Key quote:
Biden’s defiance against calls for him to leave the presidential campaign after last month’s debate have only worsened his chances in November, Cook Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter wrote.
“Biden was losing pre-debate. Now, he’s losing by a bit more,” she said, adding that the possibility Biden leaves the race at this point is “remote.”
Citing postdebate polling, Cook announced it will move Minnesota, New Hampshire and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District from “Likely Democratic” to “Lean Democratic.” The group also moved Nevada, Arizona and Georgia from “Tossup” to “Lean Republican.”
This isn’t about their predictions, it’s looking at recent polling data they are aggregating.
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It can be flawed, which is why you track multiple polls over time.
Using the same process outlined above, I watched these states go from pro-Biden, to toss-up, to pro-Trump, and now stronger pro-Trump.
It’s less about the actual numbers and more about the momentum. Biden’s campaign is running out of steam, Trump’s is gaining momentum.
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Ah, one of those steadfast LGBTQ allies who also hates SJWs. That’s a coherent personality, but most of the examples of it are Republicans who discovered the leopards would eat their loved ones faces (or usually that their loved ones were revealed as leopard prey), but then didn’t evaluate any of the other social propaganda they had bought into.
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Man, you basically confirmed it in your other comment. You’re an enlightened centrist worried about SJWs, which in this political environment is basically almost entirely Never Trump Republicans that want Trump’s threat to democracy to pass on by but haven’t considered how any of their other political beliefs might have lead to Trump gaining power in the first place.
Sure, the right is hurtling headlong into fascism and the left has been dominated by moderates for the last 40 years, but what’s equally important is whether someone tells you you should change your language to be more sensitive. You’re right in the center, rising above it, everything in perfect balance!
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Biden has been consistently polling behind the Democrats who also have a state-wide election. If it’s flawed it’s in a very specific way that overweights the specific kind of Democratic voter that supports their state candidate and doesn’t support Biden. That’s not particularly likely.