This is early voting, not really a poll. People are interviewed upon exiting the polls and that data set is linked to the registration data for the precinct. So, there is no data model applied as there is in the polls you are familiar with.
But just because you vote doesn’t mean you take the poll. You can easily walk past or say no. It’s still a poll, yes it’s taken at an election facility, but it is not the same data set as the actual votes
I think the point is that this isn’t an advance poll to see how people might vote, where people might end up changing their minds. It’s instead people who have just voted saying who they actually voted for.
This is early voting, not really a poll. People are interviewed upon exiting the polls and that data set is linked to the registration data for the precinct. So, there is no data model applied as there is in the polls you are familiar with.
That’s literally a poll, though.
But, real data is used. There is not a turn out model of past elections. This is real people and real numbers being my point.
Every time you vote, your name is checked off on precinct rolls. There’s no guessing on who has voted. Quite handy when it comes to GOTV
But just because you vote doesn’t mean you take the poll. You can easily walk past or say no. It’s still a poll, yes it’s taken at an election facility, but it is not the same data set as the actual votes
Sure, you can refuse an exit poll. But, they are surprisingly accurate.
I think the point is that this isn’t an advance poll to see how people might vote, where people might end up changing their minds. It’s instead people who have just voted saying who they actually voted for.
It’s still a poll, and all polls have inherent biases. These sorts of announcements are a bad thing because they lead to people not voting.
Yeah, you have a point there.