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Cake day: March 11th, 2026

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  • “Basing locations. Geographical limitations are a reality. If you cannot launch attacks from close by your options will be much more limited”

    Last I checked they have bases etc in UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, Oman, Jordan, Syria, then the scourge of the earth slightly further away.

    Was it part of the agreement that the US were leaving Saudi? Or am I missing something?

    Does that actually make a difference when they’re stationed in every other country in every direction? Even Iraq?

    If there’s background agreements that the US will remove their presence in Saudi then they’ve actually achieved something. Likewise if this is a step closer to ending the war they’ve achieved something. If the US and 'israel" go back to blasting them with everything they’ve got then I’m not convinced this helps in any way.

    spoiler


  • Yes, still very much losing.

    My uninformed analysis of the whole debacle at this stage is that America pretended to be conducting a humanitarian movement to free stuck ships in the strait. Really they escorted out two US flagged ships in a risky heist, Came under fire, And lost a big part of the only oil field in the UAE that avoided Hormuz.

    US tested Irans resolve and defense methods and freed a couple ships. Iran showed them what they use to deter military intervention. Missiles/fast boats/ shore munitions etc.

    Looks like Iran showed they still have power to deter naval movements and significant escalation capabilities, as this was walked back in record time. Even for Trump. They’re just throwing shit at a wall to see what sticks at this point.












  • From what I understand the Iranian blockade took ship traffic from 180-200 ships a day to somewhere around 10. This will take it from 10 to 0. I don’t really see this being a massive disadvantage for Iran (not being rampant capitalists the money is nice but they’re pretty self sufficient and I imagine Russia and China will dip their hands in their pockets to help). It will keep up the international pressure on USA due to rising oil prices and loss in supply and lack of fertiliser shipments etc. so personally I’m not convinced this is a smart play in the slightest. Think it makes Trump look like a war mongering dumbass even more and doesn’t really alter Iran’s strategy or strengths.





  • Still it’s hard to emphasise how big a loss it is if reports are correct and US managed to get a pilot out of Iran. Capturing a US soldier alive would be the easiest and quickest way for Iran to end this war. If the other is alive and gets captured he can be traded for peace. I’m convinced of this. It would be such a headache for trump.

    Either way, what a day for Iran. Another day proving they can take the worlds richest and most powerful military and 7 of their lapdogs on alone.