But it will affect crop yields globally, which means what yields there are, will have to be spread thinner, raising prices. Same with oil prices. Our economy doesn’t exist in a vacuum. Shortages elsewhere still have an impact on us.
I agree, the US still has international exposure and will feel impacts from it. I mostly had issue with the claims that the US isn’t planting enough in 2026 and will have to cull livestock because of it. It’s just not true. Most of the planting has been done and is being fertilized with supply that was secured before the shock. 2027 will likely be the tougher year, but it still won’t be because the US can’t plant anything.
The US produces most of its fertilizer locally, and most of the fertilizer it does import comes from Canada.
“No crops being planted” is just wrong: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2026/05/11/crop-progress-corn-57-planted-49-28
But it will affect crop yields globally, which means what yields there are, will have to be spread thinner, raising prices. Same with oil prices. Our economy doesn’t exist in a vacuum. Shortages elsewhere still have an impact on us.
I agree, the US still has international exposure and will feel impacts from it. I mostly had issue with the claims that the US isn’t planting enough in 2026 and will have to cull livestock because of it. It’s just not true. Most of the planting has been done and is being fertilized with supply that was secured before the shock. 2027 will likely be the tougher year, but it still won’t be because the US can’t plant anything.
I’m hearing spikes in domestic costs for farmers here for one of the fertilizers used a lot. And smaller increases in some of the others.
And also we import a lot of food. So everyone affected, affects us.
https://www.agweb.com/news/business/strait-hormuz-crisis-why-fertilizer-relief-years-away-u-s-farmers
https://www.npr.org/2026/03/26/g-s1-115240/iran-war-strait-hormuz-fertilizer-exports-farmers-planting-season
https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/strait-of-hormuz-crisis--fertilizer-scarcity-will-affect-next-harvests-and-food-supplies--fao-warns/en
Soy is up but corn is down. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-corn-planting-seen-down-soy-acres-up-iran-war-inflates-costs-analysts-say-2026-03-27/
Which is mostly what livestock feed is made from.
Spring wheat plantings expected at lowest since 1970.
That’s 56 years ago. Just to put in context. And wheat is a big part of American diets. Also used in animal feed.