Key quote:
Biden’s defiance against calls for him to leave the presidential campaign after last month’s debate have only worsened his chances in November, Cook Editor-in-Chief Amy Walter wrote.
“Biden was losing pre-debate. Now, he’s losing by a bit more,” she said, adding that the possibility Biden leaves the race at this point is “remote.”
Citing postdebate polling, Cook announced it will move Minnesota, New Hampshire and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District from “Likely Democratic” to “Lean Democratic.” The group also moved Nevada, Arizona and Georgia from “Tossup” to “Lean Republican.”
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538 gave Trump about a 30% chance of winning in 2016, while a lot of other poll aggregators were giving him single digit chances.
Biden is unpopular and losing. He was unpopular and losing before the debate and he’s still unpopular and losing. He barely beat an impeached Trump that oversaw almost a million Covid deaths and a wrecked economy in 2020, and that was when he could still string two coherent sentences together.
Why are so many liberals determined to bury their heads in the sand about this? The Democratic Party is casually coasting towards catastrophe.
Believe me, no one is burying their heads in the sand. The NY Times just spent like two weeks covering nothing but Biden’s age. I had to scroll down like 1500px to find the fucking French election results and I’m not even sure they bothered to send someone to cover the hurricane that wrecked multiple countries and hit one of the most populous regions of the country.
If you believe this is the most important election in our lifetimes and believe the polls and analysis that put Biden in a bad and worsening position, it’s kind of the most important story in the country, if not the world. There’s a reason it’s like a 50% of all political discussions here.
It’s an important story! But The NY Times has beclowned itself by trying to create a narrative instead of just covering it. There were well over 200 articles and 99% were gossip or fanfiction masquerading as news stories. That’s an editorial decision, not a news-based one. They even made a whole graphic counting which Democrats have defected. (It was 6 house members and 0 Senators and governors.)
It kind of reminded me of when they kept writing articles saying the president of MIT still hasn’t resigned even though that was an utterly unimportant story. Just a bunch of articles about nothing happening.
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“bullshit SJWs”
k lol.
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Removed, civility.
The mask is slipping.
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The people complaining about SJWs are conservatives. I’m happy if you’re going to be VBNMW in this election, but you’re not on our team and have no business lecturing people who actually care about all these “social justice” things you think are annoying because learning new words is hard. “Enlightened centrist” is a political slur for a very good reason.
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Fucking lol man. You’re a caricature.
This isn’t about their predictions, it’s looking at recent polling data they are aggregating.
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It can be flawed, which is why you track multiple polls over time.
Using the same process outlined above, I watched these states go from pro-Biden, to toss-up, to pro-Trump, and now stronger pro-Trump.
It’s less about the actual numbers and more about the momentum. Biden’s campaign is running out of steam, Trump’s is gaining momentum.
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Ah, one of those steadfast LGBTQ allies who also hates SJWs. That’s a coherent personality, but most of the examples of it are Republicans who discovered the leopards would eat their loved ones faces (or usually that their loved ones were revealed as leopard prey), but then didn’t evaluate any of the other social propaganda they had bought into.
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Man, you basically confirmed it in your other comment. You’re an enlightened centrist worried about SJWs, which in this political environment is basically almost entirely Never Trump Republicans that want Trump’s threat to democracy to pass on by but haven’t considered how any of their other political beliefs might have lead to Trump gaining power in the first place.
Sure, the right is hurtling headlong into fascism and the left has been dominated by moderates for the last 40 years, but what’s equally important is whether someone tells you you should change your language to be more sensitive. You’re right in the center, rising above it, everything in perfect balance!
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Biden has been consistently polling behind the Democrats who also have a state-wide election. If it’s flawed it’s in a very specific way that overweights the specific kind of Democratic voter that supports their state candidate and doesn’t support Biden. That’s not particularly likely.