Fulham were flying last season and finished 10th in the Premier League which was beyond impressive as many thought that they would be close to the relegation zone at the beginning of last season.

However, since around March this year (still the 2022-23) season, Fulham’s performances have nose-dived. Does anyone know why?

Just scratching through the numbers, their goal output has been horrific mainly, but why is that? And are there any other glaring weaknesses in the team?

  • starmonkart@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    They overperformed the stats last season and have no real goalscorers anywhere on the pitch since Mitrovic left

    • imminentmailing463@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      They overperformed the stats last season

      Yep, I remember reading an article before this season tipping them to struggle, based on it being unlikely they overperform their underlying numbers two seasons running.

      • OverallResolve@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        I think reducing games to xG is a really reductive way of applying stats. If xG and actual goals is unbalanced over 38 games then there’s something it’s missing.

        I’ll step off my soapbox now.

        • MrDoulou@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Funny, this gave me the opposite impression actually.

          As in, xg provided clarity as to why they haven’t been performing as well as last season, because they aren’t outpacing their xg as much as they were.

          I could be totally wrong, and that’s fine, that was just my honest first impression of the situation.

        • Novrev@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          I don’t know how that’s the takeaway you’ve pulled from that. xG stats suggested they were overperforming last year and they would be unlikely to do as well this season. So far, that appears to be correct. I’m not a lover of expected ‘x’ stats but the models are working as intended in this instance.

      • Spurs_in_the_6@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Unrelated, but what do Fulham fans think of Antonee Robinson? As a Spurs fan I don’t watch Fulham all that often, but have been quite impressed with him the few times I’ve seen him play over the last couple seasons

        • foyage347@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Fucking rapid, improved on his first touch more and his crossing is getting better, but fuck me can he have some serious lapses of concentration when defending. A little inconsistent. Good player but has some major flaws

        • fishface-1977@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Sometimes he’s great. Other times will have your screaming in despair (first half v Brighton I’m looking at you)

  • Username_been-taken@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Likely because of Mitrovic leaving because Mitrovic was practically their Bruno G or Rodri, although he was one man, he was essential for their attack and you can tell as once he got the red card and was absent from the team, they looked mid. There are probably more factors to this that I don’t know of so best leave this to Fulham fans.

  • bigdog94_10@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Only reason they won’t go down this season is because of Burnley, Sheffield and Luton being so far removed from everyone else.

    They could genuinely set a new record low points total for a team to survive.

    • Yikes-Yak@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      And you still only just scraped a win against us.

      Records points low for survival ffs… we’re on course for 38 points, have struggled with injuries, and have plenty of money to invest in January if needed. People love to exaggerate.

  • Kaninachaocb@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Is the Marco Silva effect - he doesn’t last three years at any football club….trust us limpeh all of us Evertonians know firsthand of him

  • Whulad@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    I had a cheeky tenner on them to go down at the beginning of the season

  • foyage347@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    No mitro replacement is the major difference. Ream hasn’t been as good this season (not his fault at all just getting older) and bassey has shown a lot of promise but needs much more time to adapt. Our wingers not having a striker to link up with or cross the ball into the box to has effected them and peereira is also really struggling from not really having a striker to link up with.

    The root of almost all problems is us not having a striker. If we get a suitable mitro replacement in Jan we’ll be perfectly fine, if not I still think we’ll survive but you never know. Worrying times but no need to panic. Yet

  • jod1991@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Simple.

    Overperformed last season, and are a worse squad this season.

    Prime reason for overperformance was mitrovic goal scoring.

    They’ve replaced him with flat out bad players.

  • 19Ben80@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    They sold their focal point and replaced him with a striker who hasn’t scored goals in a few seasons since a bad head injury