This is a thread specifically for the war, not a general megathread (use the pinned /c/genzedong thread for that).

Please keep related news in this thread rather than making separate posts. Remember to include sources and avoid spreading rumours.

Previous megathread

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    7 天前

    🇮🇷🇮🇶🇺🇸⚡️ — BREAKING: During a meeting with Iraqi Coordination Framework leaders, Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi discussed war plans presented by the U.S. government to President Trump, presumably shared with the Iraqi government, Al-Mada reports

    The plan consists of three scenarios, two of which are shared in this article. One scenario consists of U.S. forces launching an invasion of southern Iran through Iraqi territory, and another consists of Iran invading Kuwait from Iraqi territory.

    Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi also warned Coordination Framework and Islamic Resistance in Iraq officials that if Iraqi militias join the next American-Iranian war, arrests would be conducted by the Iraqi government against the Islamic Resistance in Iraq.

    https://t.me/SimurghRes/11823

    • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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      7 天前

      —❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇶/🇮🇶/🇮🇷 NEW: In a closed-door meeting, Iraqi Prime Minister Al-Zaidi threatened Shiite factions that supporting Iran militarily in the next war would lead to mass arrests of militia leaders

      In response, the Islamic Resistance in Iraq warned Al-Zaidi that any attempt to arrest Shia leaders would result in the fall of the government.

      Al-Zaidi also claimed the U.S. had discussed plans to invade Iran from Iraqi territory.

      @Middle_East_Spectator

      https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/38054

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    7 天前
    • Correction * It has since come to light that the Arman tactical ballistic missiles (known locally as Ababil) have been exported to Armenia not Russia. The error has come about due to the two systems having the same name. Also, local sources tend to report anything heading north as heading for Russia.

    https://t.me/SimurghRes/11824

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 天前

    ❗️Tucker Carlson claims Washington considering nuclear strike on Iran under Israeli pressure

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    According to a public statement released on social media by US political commentator Tucker Carlson, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is applying intense pressure on the White House to launch a tactical nuclear strike against Iran’s subterranean Pickaxe Mountain facility (Kolang Kouh).

    Carlson asserted that Israeli intelligence claims Tehran has restarted nuclear enrichment deep beneath the granite complex near Natanz, alleging that because conventional US munitions cannot penetrate 300 feet of rock, Pentagon officials including War Secretary Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM chief Brad Cooper are advocating nuclear deployment alongside Tel Aviv.

    Carlson further claimed that Netanyahu’s push for immediate military escalation is driven by domestic political survival following recent Israeli parliamentary elections, where the prime minister remains unable to assemble a 61-seat Knesset coalition.

    “Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war,” he wrote.

    Citing unnamed informed observers, Carlson alleged that former president Barack Obama and Secretary of State Marco Rubio oppose current peace talks in Doha, whereas Vice President JD Vance and diplomatic envoy Steve Witkoff are counseling President Donald Trump to pursue a negotiated settlement rather than executing a strike decision by 7 November.

    The claims—which have not been verified—warned that a US nuclear attack would cause catastrophic regional radioactive fallout across Persian Gulf water supplies and trigger immediate global proliferation.

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/70338

    I’m only posting this because, one, every other channel has decided that they needed to report on it, and two, because I want to critique what I think is the intention behind this.

    In my opinion, Carlson is framing this in a way that implies that the US is being led by Israel for this imperialist aggression, a framing I disagree with immensely. He asserts that Netanyahu is leading Trump along using elements of his administration, and is going to innaguarate a new age of nuclear war.

    The US has been preparing for this excursion foe decades, and decided to strike now not solely due to Israel but largely, in my opinion, due to BRICS. Israel undeniably has played an immense role in this aggression, and I’m willing to believe that they fed incomplete information to Trump using the Jaunary riots as a foundation for the idea that Iran would topple.

    However I think the reason the US allowed itself to be coerced so easily this time was because the inauguration of the BRICS New Development Bank (and other global factors) were going to make sactions against Iran significantly less effective then they already are. My view of this imperialist war is that it is a war of desperation, where the US believed there was going to be no chance left on the horizon which would allow them to finally subjugate Iran before the multipolar world became an unquestionable reality.

    Specifically, without the ability to destroy Iran, they’d be unable to cripple China and the Belt and Road initiative. Not to mention, the US likely wanted to exit the region to focus on China, but wanted to leave it so the zionist entity was the most well positioned after a US departure. This desperate attempt to smother the emergence of a multipolar world, spearheaded by China, is the impetus from this war, which has ironically enshrined this new global order.

    So now, what of the nukes? I think most people here were already aware of the possibility, so Carlson’s post is unsurprising. However, although the idea that other nuclear powers will be emboldened to use nuclear weapons themselves is fairly acceptable, I think it’s overstated.

    Ranting about how the DPRK might nuke Seoul, or how India/Pakistan might use a nuke on eachother is, in my view, wildly off base. For all the animosity between the latter two countries, a nuclear strike would still affect billions in the surrounding region, a fact that I doubt India or Pakistan take lightly. The former example, is also complete nonsense, as the DPRK has viewed Occupied Korea as, well, an occupation, until relatively recently, and again, they would be affected as well.

    The only use of nukes I could potentially see, is in Ukraine, but even that is a stretch to me (again, Russia would have the effects of nuclear fallout, as well as the fact that nukes are not necessary for them to win their war).

    In other words, this idea that every other country would be as blood thirsty with nukes as possible, is imperialist projection. What Tucker is doing is trying to rehabilitate the image of the US before they take yet another step down the ladder of barbarism.

    Frankly, if nukes fly, I am more willing to believe it would be Israel that uses them due to pressure from the US then the other way around.

    • wonderful and clear-eyed analysis, thank you. it’s a shame seeing so many supposed anti-imperialists deciding to lend their ear to tucker carlson of all people.

      i’d have to strongly disagree on the possibility of nuclear conflict in ukraine. just like with india/pakistan, it is a situation of a natural whole having been artificially divided by foreign powers, just with said division here having been done even more recently and on even more flimsy grounds, thus having populations that haven’t internalised that kind of nationalist hatred for each other (yet). there remain incredibly strong familial ties, russia hosts the most ukrainian war refugees, and there is a reason why the kiev régime has to coerce and horrifically abuse its population into fighting.

      russia nuking ukraine would be nuking itself.

      • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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        13 天前

        The only scenario where I see Russia using a nuclear weapon in Ukraine, is if Europe uses one, otherwise I see it as very much not a possibility.

        • the european ruling class benefits from prolonging the war as much as possible, as it gives them an oppurtunity to shovel even more money into arms corporations, as well as providing a smokeskreen for gutting most remaining concessions to the working class.

    • sleepykitten@lemmygrad.ml
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      13 天前

      As always beautiful analysis. Just a question, what could even the use of nukes look like? Are they going to nuke the capital or the whole country or just a minor city so Iran capitulates?

      • VoOe704c@lemmygrad.ml
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        13 天前

        They cannot win the war with nukes, so it would serve mostly as a way for Trump to move up the escalation ladder to a (perceived) point where he can claim they have “destroyed the Iranian nuclear program” and try to pull out.

        Tehran would probably not be a target, too costly politically and will provoke a do-or-die response from the axis of resistance. There is very low chance that Iran capitulates if they get nuked.

      • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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        13 天前

        I honestly don’t know, you’ll gave to ask another comrade about that, as I’m ill-equipped to answer.

        My guess would go to say they’d try to nuke a facility rather then a city but that’s just speculation. In any event, Iran likely has a contingency for either outcome, as they’ve had with every escalation so far.

        Nuking a city would enrage the Iranian people, and probably the entire Muslim world, but so would a nuke on any part of Iran.

        I also think that in the event of a nuke, Iran would finally build a nuclear weapon of their own, and even potentially use it on a US asset.

      • senseamidmadness@lemmygrad.ml
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        13 天前

        Just repeating Tucker’s yapping, not that I believe it: he is speculating that a strike would be on Iran’s primary (believed to be, anyway) uranium enrichment facility, which is below 300 feet of granite. My big problem with this is that, as far as I know, even US military nuclear weapons are not guaranteed to penetrate that much rock. So I think it’s more fearmongering than anything else.

    • Commiejones@lemmygrad.ml
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      13 天前

      The US has been preparing for this excursion foe decades, and decided to strike now not solely due to Israel but largely, in my opinion, due to BRICS. Israel undeniably has played an immense role in this aggression

      So one error I keep seeing in analysis is the personification of nations. usa and israel are not people they do not make decisions. Capital is what is directing the actions of the american and israelis state.

      Fiduciary responsibility directs the managerial class to make decisions based on what is best for Capital. The financial systems of control measure success of the managerial class on a quarterly and yearly basis leading to short term destructive thinking.

      The global north is run by a socio-ecconomic algorithm called capitalism and capitalism is a machine that exists to maximize the exploitation of the environment and humanity for imaginary points called “profits.”

      Drawing a line between usa and israel is a trick just like pretending europe is a continent and not just the shitty western corner of Asia or that its a group of independent nations and not just a bunch of territories running legacy control systems that haven’t been upgraded to fully to the monopoly capitalist imperial standard while subservient to the monster that is western capital.

      The threat of BRICKS is a the real reason because it is a direct challenge to the Western monopoly Capital monster.

      As for Nukes. I think if a Nuke is used it will be israeli. I don’t think any government that supported american nuclear aggression would last long and most people are already disgusted by israel. the western capitalists wouldn’t risk having all their vassal governments losing the last vestiges of popular legitimacy or being forced to cut off ties to usa when they could just make the most despised nation in the world slightly more despised.

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 天前

    ❗️Global desensitization to Israeli crimes in Gaza and Lebanon threatens human conscience, Tehran warns

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    Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmail Baghaei warned that the international community and western nations have become dangerously “desensitized” to ongoing Israeli atrocities across Palestine and Lebanon.

    Speaking at a press conference today, Baghaei identified Israel as the core “root cause of insecurity in West Asia,” accusing Tel Aviv of systematically intensifying civilian suffering and reducing human lives to mere statistical figures in a manner that threatens global moral standards.

    The diplomatic spokesman highlighted the catastrophic humanitarian conditions facing millions of forcibly displaced families, noting that as the cold winter season approaches, the Israeli military continues to obstruct the entry of essential survival aid, fuel, and medical supplies.

    Baghaei criticized European governments for normalizing these aggression policies and ignoring forced displacement, warning that normalizing systematic starvation and siege warfare sets a dangerous precedent for international humanitarian law.

    Addressing legal accountability, Baghaei emphasized that the International Criminal Court (ICC) faces intense, direct coercive pressure from Washington designed to shield Israeli officials from prosecution under the Rome Statute.

    Tehran reaffirmed that despite US political pressure on international judicial bodies, the global community retains an undeniable obligation to halt Israeli war crimes, break the suffocating blockades in Gaza and attacks on Lebanon, and hold military leadership accountable for historic atrocities.

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/70342

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 天前

    🇾🇪⚔️🇸🇦 Ansar Allah advances to within 80 km of Aden, closest since 2015

    Ansar Allah has pushed to within 80 km of Aden, the main stronghold of Yemen’s Saudi-controlled puppet government, four military sources told Reuters. That’s the closest it has been since the early months of the war in 2015, when it briefly entered the city.

    Its fighters have reportedly taken the entire Al-Maqatirah district in Lahj province, and on Monday were battling government forces at a military camp at the entrance to Tur al-Bahah district, one of the main approaches to Aden.

    The sources say the advance gives Ansar Allah a chance to outflank government forces on the mountain range overlooking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. It also threatens the main road between Aden and Taiz, Yemen’s third-largest city, encircled since early October.

    🔴 @DDGeopolitics

    https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/197074

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 天前

    🇮🇷🇨🇳🇷🇺🇴🇲| Interesting diplomacy stuff going on today:

    • Oman’s Sultan & Iran’s top security deputy chief Ali Bagheri Kani are simultaneously visiting Beijing (shift to Chinese & Omani mediation?)

    • China reaffirmed support for Iran’s sovereignty and security.

    • Chinese Special Envoy to visit Iran, Oman and Saudi Arabia in early and mid-November.

    • Iran’s top security chief, Mohsen Rezaei, spoke with Putin today discussing several global and regional issues

    @FotrosResistancee

    https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24411

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    13 天前

    🇮🇷🇺🇸| The US military confirms they struck Qeshm Island and claim Iran first targeted a US fighter jet, which prompted the attack.

    Additionally, the Iranian Army spokesman has just issued a statement warning the US.

    Brig. General Akraminia says any renewed US aggression will be met with an immediate, devastating, and more extensive response than before. Should a new war break out, the geographical scope of the conflict will not remain confined to West Asia.

    Says the Iranian Army has received orders to update their target database, with a focus on various tangible and intangible assets of the US-Zionist enemy.

    In the event of renewed military adventurism, US facilities, equipment, personnel, and interests wherever they are within reach could become targets of retaliation.

    The spox says the US sought to establish a ground front along Iran’s western borders by arming separatist groups based in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region, but the deployment of Iranian Armed Forces units and preemptive operations against these groups’ positions prevented the enemy from achieving its objectives.

    @FotrosResistancee

    https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24425

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    11 天前

    ❗️IRGC warns Iranian retaliation will target enemy leaders directly if commanders are struck

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    An adviser to the commander-in-chief of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has warned that Tehran will abandon proportional responses and directly target top “enemy leaders” should Iranian military commanders or political leadership come under attack in any renewed military escalation.

    “If they target our commanders and leaders this time, they should expect their own commanders and leaders to be killed,” Fars News Agency quoted IRGC adviser Mohammad Moghadamfar as saying.

    Emphasizing a fundamental shift in Tehran’s strategic doctrine, Moghadamfar stated that future military retaliations will no longer adhere to measured or reciprocal frameworks: “Our responses will no longer be reciprocal or proportional. We will go beyond the point of attack and set their assets ablaze, regardless of time or place.”

    The stern military warning comes amid sustained regional volatility following the direct US-Israeli military campaign launched against Iran on 28 February, which triggered extensive Iranian missile barrages against Israeli military hubs and US occupation bases prior to an April ceasefire.

    Implementation of a subsequent 18 June maritime navigation agreement governing the Strait of Hormuz remains stalled due to ongoing disputes over security protocols and foreign military presence.

    https://t.me/thecradlemedia/70493

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    12 天前

    🇮🇷🇺🇸🇦🇪🇰🇼| The US & its Arab proxy countries have installed additional air defense systems since the last war, in preparation for the new war with Iran.

    • 3 Patriot air defense batteries have been installed in Kuwait

    • 3 Patriot air defense batteries have been deployed in the UAE

    (Credits for geolocating: NoctuMind on X)

    @FotrosResistancee

    https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24452?single

  • Malkhodr @lemmygrad.ml
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    11 天前

    🇮🇷| A quite notable statement by Mohammad Javad Larijani who expressed the necessity to leave the NPT & change Iran’s nuclear doctrine.

    He said:

    “Membership in the NPT has brought Iran no benefits and has instead been detrimental. The Parliament must revoke our practical commitment to the NPT, and the other side must explain to us why we should remain a member.”

    Then regarding Iran’s nuclear doctrine he said:

    “Whether possessing nuclear weapons should become part of our defense doctrine is an extremely important question. There is strong public demand for this, and God willing, officials will pay attention to it.

    We must also consider the position of the Leader. However, nuclear science and technology extend far beyond simply building bombs. We must not engage in negotiations that focus on restricting our scientific and technological capabilities.”

    @FotrosResistancee

    https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/24458